Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.001726 0.001800 0.001876 0.001962 0.002055 0.002154 0.002267
2025-07-06 0.001598 0.001701 0.001813 0.001944 0.002094 0.002262 0.002467
2025-07-13 0.001470 0.001587 0.001717 0.001873 0.002059 0.002275 0.002553
2025-07-20 0.001405 0.001535 0.001682 0.001865 0.002090 0.002363 0.002730
2025-07-27 0.001363 0.001504 0.001668 0.001877 0.002142 0.002476 0.002949
2025-08-03 0.001314 0.001462 0.001637 0.001864 0.002158 0.002542 0.003109
2025-08-10 0.001286 0.001442 0.001630 0.001878 0.002209 0.002656 0.003349
2025-08-17 0.001250 0.001411 0.001606 0.001868 0.002226 0.002722 0.003524
2025-08-24 0.001213 0.001376 0.001576 0.001848 0.002227 0.002765 0.003666
2025-08-31 0.001204 0.001375 0.001588 0.001884 0.002305 0.002927 0.004031
2025-09-07 0.001184 0.001359 0.001580 0.001891 0.002344 0.003032 0.004313
2025-09-14 0.001155 0.001331 0.001554 0.001872 0.002340 0.003069 0.004476
2025-09-21 0.001123 0.001298 0.001522 0.001844 0.002325 0.003087 0.004613
2025-09-28 0.001099 0.001276 0.001503 0.001832 0.002333 0.003145 0.004842
2025-10-05 0.001058 0.001229 0.001449 0.001770 0.002259 0.003057 0.004741
2025-10-12 0.001040 0.001212 0.001435 0.001764 0.002272 0.003121 0.004993
2025-10-19 0.001029 0.001204 0.001433 0.001775 0.002313 0.003238 0.005401
2025-10-26 0.001010 0.001185 0.001416 0.001763 0.002316 0.003285 0.005648
2025-11-02 0.001001 0.001179 0.001416 0.001776 0.002360 0.003416 0.006162
2025-11-09 0.000986 0.001164 0.001402 0.001767 0.002366 0.003473 0.006488
2025-11-16 0.000968 0.001145 0.001383 0.001749 0.002357 0.003497 0.006723
2025-11-23 0.000966 0.001148 0.001395 0.001781 0.002435 0.003712 0.007699
2025-11-30 0.000957 0.001141 0.001392 0.001787 0.002470 0.003838 0.008444